GB hold off CHI 28-21
GB held off CHI 28-21. GB converted 8/12 third downs (67%) vs CHI's 8/16 (50%). The defining moment: J.Love intercepted (Q1, 50:56).
Key Takeaways
- ⚡ Turning point: J.Love intercepted (Q1, 50:56) turning point
- ✅ Key advantage: GB converted 8/12 third downs (67%) vs CHI's 8/16 (50%) why winner won
- ❌ Key failure: CHI committed 1 turnover (1 INT, 0 fumbles lost) why loser lost
GB held off CHI 28-21. GB converted 8/12 third downs (67%) vs CHI's 8/16 (50%).
The defining moment: J.Love intercepted (Q1, 50:56).
⚡ The Turning Point
J.Love intercepted (Q1, 50:56). GB's win probability dropped from 60.5% to 46.1% — a 14.4 percentage point swing.
Gave CHI the ball and ended GB's threat while tied game.
🏈 Drive of the Game
GB 8-play, 65-yard drive (4:28) ending in touchdown (Q4, 08:00). GB's win probability moved from 57.2% to 86.6% — a 29.4 percentage point shift over 8 plays.
GB took the lead for the first time on this drive. Key play (WPA +0.129): (3:37) (Shotgun) 8-J.Jacobs up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Key play (WPA +0.107): (5:20) (Shotgun) 8-J.Jacobs right end to CHI 7 for 21 yards (31-K.Byard). Key play (WPA +0.061): (7:17) 70-D.Kinnard reported in as eligible.
10-J.Love pass deep right to 11-J.Reed to CHI 36 for 18.
📈 Game Flow
A back-and-forth battle with 4 lead changes kept both teams in contention throughout. The longest sustained momentum belonged to GB, who gained 29.7 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.
✅ Why GB Won
GB won 28-21 on the strength of 5 key factors: • GB converted 8/12 third downs (67%) vs CHI's 8/16 (50%) • GB scored on 1/1 red zone trips (100%) vs CHI's 3/4 (75%) • GB passing EPA: +8.0 vs CHI: -0.2.
❌ What Went Wrong for CHI
CHI lost 21-28. What went wrong: • CHI committed 1 turnover (1 INT, 0 fumbles lost) • CHI failed to score on 1 of 4 red zone trips (75% scoring rate).
🏁 The Bottom Line
The drive that defined the game: GB 8-play, 65-yard drive (4:28) ending in touchdown (Q4, 08:00). The moment that decided it: J.Love intercepted (Q1, 50:56).
Final score: GB 28-21.
Evidence Sources
Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.