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NFL 2025 Season Week 15

BAL rout CIN 24-0

BAL dominated CIN 24-0. BAL generated +7.7 EPA (+0.207 per play) vs CIN's -21.9 EPA (-0.309 per play).

By Sportami Editorial

Key Takeaways

  • ⚡
    Turning point: L.Jackson to R.Ali, 30-yard TD (Q2, 34:42) turning point
  • ✅
    Key advantage: BAL generated +7.7 EPA (+0.207 per play) vs CIN's -21.9 EPA (-0.309 per play) why winner won
  • ❌
    Key failure: CIN failed on 12/15 third downs (20% conversion rate) why loser lost

BAL dominated CIN 24-0. BAL generated +7.7 EPA (+0.207 per play) vs CIN's -21.9 EPA (-0.309 per play).

why winner won turning point momentum timeline

⚡ The Turning Point

L.Jackson to R.Ali, 30-yard TD (Q2, 34:42). BAL's win probability jumped from 50.4% to 64.7% — a 14.3 percentage point swing.

Extended or established the lead while tied game.

turning point

🏈 Drive of the Game

BAL 5-play, 79-yard drive (2:59) ending in touchdown (Q2, 07:34). BAL's win probability moved from 43.7% to 64.9% — a 21.2 percentage point shift over 5 plays.

BAL took the lead for the first time on this drive. Key play (WPA +0.143): (4:42) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 26-R.Ali for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Key play (WPA +0.087): (6:50) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 10-D.Hopkins to CIN 33 for 32 yards (27-J.Battle).

drive of game

📈 Game Flow

A steady contest without dramatic momentum swings. The longest sustained momentum belonged to BAL, who lost 35.6 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.

momentum timeline

✅ Why BAL Won

BAL won 24-0 on the strength of 5 key factors: • BAL generated +7.7 EPA (+0.207 per play) vs CIN's -21.9 EPA (-0.309 per play) • BAL had 8 explosive plays (20+ yards) vs CIN's 2 • BAL rushing EPA: +7.6 vs CIN: -8.2.

why winner won

❌ What Went Wrong for CIN

CIN lost 0-24. What went wrong: • CIN failed on 12/15 third downs (20% conversion rate) • CIN generated -21.9 EPA (-0.309 per play) • CIN committed 2 turnovers (2 INTs, 0 fumbles lost).

why loser lost

🏁 The Bottom Line

The drive that defined the game: BAL 5-play, 79-yard drive (2:59) ending in touchdown (Q2, 07:34). The moment that decided it: L.Jackson to R.Ali, 30-yard TD (Q2, 34:42).

Final score: BAL 24-0.

why winner won turning point drive of game

Evidence Sources

BAL Play #1321 Drive #7 epa advantage explosive plays rushing advantage third down failures offensive inefficiency turnovers committed

Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.