ATL hold off ARI 26-19
ATL held off ARI 26-19. ATL passing EPA: +8.1 vs ARI: -2.4. The defining moment: J.Brissett intercepted (Q4, 1:30).
Key Takeaways
- ⚡ Turning point: J.Brissett intercepted (Q4, 1:30) turning point
- ✅ Key advantage: ATL passing EPA: +8.1 vs ARI: -2.4 why winner won
- ❌ Key failure: ARI's defense allowed ATL to score on 5/9 drives (56%) why loser lost
ATL held off ARI 26-19. ATL passing EPA: +8.1 vs ARI: -2.4.
The defining moment: J.Brissett intercepted (Q4, 1:30).
⚡ The Turning Point
J.Brissett intercepted (Q4, 1:30). ARI's win probability dropped from 17.9% to 1.1% — a 16.7 percentage point swing.
Gave ATL the ball and ended ARI's threat while trailing by one score.
🏈 Drive of the Game
ATL 14-play, 60-yard drive (4:37) ending in touchdown (Q2, 05:02). ATL's win probability moved from 32.7% to 46.9% — a 14.3 percentage point shift over 14 plays.
ATL tied the game after trailing. Key play (WPA +0.089): (:29) (Shotgun) 18-K.Cousins pass short right to 8-K.Pitts for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Key play (WPA +0.061): (2:00) 18-K.Cousins up the middle to ARI 26 for 2 yards (79-P.Mustipher; 50-C.Simon). ** Injury Upda.
📈 Game Flow
A competitive game with 5 significant momentum shifts provided sustained tension. The longest sustained momentum belonged to ATL, who lost 31.0 percentage points of win probability during that stretch.
The largest single swing was 16.7 percentage points, caused by a interception.
✅ Why ATL Won
ATL won 26-19 on the strength of 2 key factors: • ATL passing EPA: +8.1 vs ARI: -2.4 • ATL generated +3.8 EPA (+0.053 per play) vs ARI's -0.2 EPA (-0.004 per play).
❌ What Went Wrong for ARI
ARI lost 19-26. What went wrong: • ARI's defense allowed ATL to score on 5/9 drives (56%) • ARI committed 1 turnover (1 INT, 0 fumbles lost).
🏁 The Bottom Line
The drive that defined the game: ATL 14-play, 60-yard drive (4:37) ending in touchdown (Q2, 05:02). The moment that decided it: J.Brissett intercepted (Q4, 1:30).
Final score: ATL 26-19.
Evidence Sources
Every claim is traced to play-by-play evidence from official NFL data. Powered by Sportami Reason Engine v1.0.